Current Conditions Index | Week of March 31, 2014
How to Use the CCI
The CCI is a weekly measure of the conditions that underpin our outlook for the markets and
economy. It provides real-time insight into the trends that shape our recommended actions to
manage portfolios and has proven to be a useful investment decision-making tool.
This index is not intended to be a leading index or predict future conditions; it is a coincident
measure of where they are now. Because our index is tailored to the current environment, the
components of the CCI are periodically changed to retune the index to those factors most critical
to the markets and economy, so it may continue to be a valuable investment decision-making tool.
How the Index Is Constructed
To create the index we found 10 indicators that provided a weekly, real-time measure of the
conditions in the economic and market environment. We then standardized these components
compared with their pre-crisis 10-year average, equally weighted their standardized scores, and
aligned the resulting index with zero at the start of 2009. These components capture how the
conditions are evolving from a wide range of angles.
Over the past week, the LPL Financial Current Conditions Index (CCI) rebounded further to 240.
The CCI has moved to the highs of the year following a dip associated with extreme weather in
many parts of the country during the mid-winter period.
The path of the CCI suggests continued modest, but steady economic growth in the United States. A further rise is needed to suggest stronger growth than that of the past few years.
The CCI was positively impacted by an improvement in bond spreads, shipping traffic, jobless
claims, the VIX, and commodities, offset slightly by a slump in retail sales.
The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to
provide or be construed as providing specific investment advice or recommendations for any
individual. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, consult your financial
advisor prior to investing. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future
results. All indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.
The fast price swings of commodities will result in significant volatility in an investor's holdings.
International investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability
and may not be suitable for all investors.
This research material has been prepared by LPL Financial.To the extent you are receiving investment advice from a separately registered independent
investment advisor, please note that LPL Financial is not an affiliate of and makes no
representation with respect to such entity.
Not FDIC/NCUA Insured | Not Bank/Credit Union Guaranteed | May Lose Value | Not
Guaranteed by any Government Agency | Not a Bank/Credit Union Deposit
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The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.
The financial consultants of Wealth Management are registered representatives with and Securities are offered through LPL Financial. Member FINRA/SIPC. Insurance products offered through LPL Financial or its licensed affiliates.
Not FDIC/NCUA Insured Not Bank/Credit Union
Guaranteed May Lose Value
Not Insured by any Federal Government Agency Not a Bank Deposit
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